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Dare to trade. Dare to win.
Trump just cocked the shotgun and aimed it at the U.S. economy. The dollar? Dead man walking.
Why?
1️⃣ Uncle Sam’s drowning in debt—cheaper refinancing is a must.
2️⃣ Capital needs to be dirt cheap to lure investors back to the U.S.
3️⃣ Weak dollar = export boom + foreign money flooding in.
And Trump? He’s willing to trigger a recession to make it happen.
How he’s pulling it off:
🔹 Tariffs? Short-term chaos, long-term boost for U.S. manufacturing.
🔹 DOGE? Not just memes. It's a signal: brutal spending cuts = bond yields down = job market bleeding.
🔹 Rising unemployment forces Powell’s hand → rate cuts come faster.
Markets are already reacting:
📉 Now pricing in a 75bps cut instead of 50bps for January.
📉 10-year yields plummeted from 4.8% to 4.3%.
📉 DXY crashed from 110 to 104.
📉 U.S. stock market down 5-10% from its peak.
The Risk?
Inflation.
If tariffs push up prices but inflation stays tame, the Fed can keep slashing rates. More liquidity = short-term BTC pump.
But if inflation sticks? Welcome to the 1970s—stagflation edition.
And guess what? The best-performing asset back then was gold.
Now? Bitcoin is gold 2.0.
BTC = Safe Haven?
📊 Short-term? Still trades like a high-beta tech stock.
⏳ Long-term? It’s only a matter of time before it plays its real role.