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AI Weekly Hotspot Report (08.22 - 08.29)
Table of Contents:
1. Market Trend
1.1. Market Sentiment
This week, the total market value of digital currencies reached $3.579 trillion, a decrease of 7.9% compared to the previous period. The trading volume on exchanges decreased by 26%, reaching $60 billion. The price of Bitcoin fell by 4%, dipping to a low of $98,839.87. Powell's hawkish remarks suppressed buying in the crypto market, leading to a total liquidation of $843 million, with $743 million in long positions liquidated, indicating a bearish market sentiment.
According to the Gate Fear and Greed Index, today's market sentiment is normal, with a Fear and Greed Index of 50. It remains stable compared to yesterday, flat compared to last week, but has declined compared to last month, with the overall market sentiment maintaining in the neutral range.
1.2. Macroeconomic Impact
Recent data shows that the pace of global economic recovery is slowing, with persistent inflationary pressures. The Eurozone's August CPI annual rate preliminary value is 2.0%, in line with expectations. The U.S. August ISM Manufacturing PMI is 48.0, below the expected value of 49.5, indicating a contraction in manufacturing for the eighth consecutive month. The U.S. August PPI annual rate is -0.1%, below the expected 0.2%, with a year-on-year growth of 2.5%, below the expected 2.7%. The U.S. August CPI annual rate is 3.2%, below the expected 3.3%. The annualized number of new housing starts in the U.S. is 1.44 million, below the expected 1.5 million. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is 216,000, higher than the expected 192,000.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the current market expects an 83.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the interest rate in the range of 5.25%-5.50% on September 20, with a 49.2% probability of a 25 basis point increase to the range of 5.50%-5.75% on November 1.
The Producer Price Index and the Consumer Price Index show a lagging relationship. As a leading indicator, the manufacturing PMI remains below 50, indicating an increased risk of economic slowdown. High inflation, a weak job market, and sluggish economic growth are factors that will influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
Overall, the current macroeconomic environment faces the dual pressures of high inflation and weak demand, which may have some impact on the cryptocurrency market. Investors need to closely monitor central bank policy trends and changes in economic data.
1.3 Financial Calendar
This week, the focus is on the U.S. non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate for August. Non-farm payroll data is an important indicator of the employment market situation, which will influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. In addition, the PMI data for manufacturing and services is also worth paying attention to, as it can reflect the state of economic activity.
Other data such as factory orders, JOLTs job vacancies, and other secondary indicators also have some indicative power for economic trends. Overall, the economic data released this week will provide important clues for the outlook of the U.S. economy.
2. Analysis of Capital Flow and Price Volatility
2.1. Price Volatility Analysis
The volatility of BTC this week is 1.23%. The price of BTC has fluctuated between $112,200 and $112,600 this week, with a small range of increase and decrease. The price remains high, mainly supported by positive macroeconomic data and continuous buying from institutional investors.
Trading Volume Analysis This week's average daily trading volume of BTC is approximately $150 billion, a decrease compared to last week. The decline in trading volume may reflect a cautious investor sentiment. However, overall, trading activity remains at a high level.
Market Activity and Price Direction Despite a decrease in trading volume, the open interest in the futures market continues to rise, indicating that speculative demand remains. Overall, BTC is expected to maintain range-bound fluctuations in the short term, with attention on whether it can effectively break through the resistance level of $113,000.
2.2. Capital Market Analysis
According to the latest capital flow data, we can see that popular public chain projects such as Ethereum ( ETH ) and Solana ( SOL ) continue to attract a significant amount of capital inflow. This indicates that investors maintain an optimistic outlook on the development prospects of these projects.
At the same time, a number of emerging decentralized finance ( DeFi ) and Web3 projects, such as API3, MAGIC, etc., have also seen significant net inflows of capital. This reflects investors' enthusiasm for innovative blockchain applications.
However, we also noticed that some cryptocurrencies experienced net capital outflows, such as Conflux(CFX), Litentry(LIT), etc. This may be related to the development status of the projects themselves or a shift in market sentiment.
Overall, the current capital flow in the cryptocurrency market shows a diversified trend. Investors need to make prudent assessments of the development status and prospects of different projects, and closely monitor changes in capital flow.
2.3. Smart Money Analysis
BTC Large Capital Movement The large order transaction volume of BTC shows that institutional funds are gradually withdrawing. Over the past week, the large order transaction volume of BTC has continued to decline, indicating signs of capital outflow. This may mean that institutional investors are gradually reducing their positions, signaling that BTC may face some selling pressure in the short term.
ETH Large Capital Movements Unlike BTC, the recent large transaction volume of ETH has shown an upward trend, indicating that institutional funds are flowing into the ETH market. This may be due to the optimistic outlook for ETH's applications in areas such as DeFi. Therefore, ETH may face significant financial support in the short term.
Other currencies large capital movements In terms of other mainstream cryptocurrencies, the large transaction volume of Layer 1 public chains such as SOL and AVAX has increased, indicating that institutional funds are flowing into these public chain projects that are seen as promising for development. In contrast, the large transaction volume of some altcoins has decreased.
Overall Analysis
Overall, institutional funds are shifting from traditional cryptocurrencies like BTC to public chain projects such as ETH and SOL, which are seen as having development potential. This may indicate a structural change in the cryptocurrency market, with investors increasingly focusing on emerging public chain projects. Therefore, in the near future, currencies like ETH and SOL may face significant capital support, while traditional currencies like BTC may face some selling pressure.
3. Hot Topics
According to the provided data, the most frequently discussed hot topic in the past week is "Meme Coin Surge". Below are the relevant topic reports:
🚀 Meme coins are skyrocketing, and investors are celebrating! Institutions are also buying like crazy?!
Lisa D. Cook was fired, and the Meme coin market exploded.
After the news of Federal Reserve Board member Lisa D. Cook being fired, a frenzy erupted in the Meme coin market. Popular Meme coins such as Shiba Inu ( SHIB ), Pepe ( PEPE ), Dogwifhat ( WIF ), Fartcoin ( FARTCOIN ), and Bonk ( BONK ) surged dramatically, with some coins rising over 150%.
Analysts indicate that this surge is not just a short-term speculative behavior, but rather reflects investors' ongoing interest in Meme coins that have stable community activity and social media attention. Market data shows that the continued accumulation of these assets is tracking historical patterns observed during past bull market cycles.
Meme coin trader John Smith stated: "The social indicators and on-chain liquidity of these coins are key metrics for assessing their potential sustainability. Although volatility still exists, the overall trading volume highlights the increasingly important position of meme coins in the cryptocurrency ecosystem."
Shiba Inu ( SHIB ) leads with community-driven momentum.
Shiba Inu coin demonstrates exceptional market resilience and maintains its position among the top Meme coins thanks to its social engagement. Its strong community involvement continues to drive trading volume and adoption rates. Analysts say SHIB's performance appears remarkable due to the ongoing accumulation by holders and decentralized trading activities.
Pepe(PEPE)Revolutionary meme-based momentum
Pepe has shown unparalleled growth in market interest and trading activity. Observers point out that its innovative community-driven activities are a driving factor for high-yield opportunities. Its outstanding performance in social metrics and liquidity suggests a strong upward trend in the short term.
Performance of other popular Meme coins
In addition to Shiba Inu and Pepe, other popular Meme coins such as Dogwifhat(WIF), Fartcoin(FARTCOIN), and Bonk(BONK) have also shown varying degrees of upward potential.
Meme coin trader Alice Wang stated: "These Meme coins combine significant viral spread and high-yield trading potential. Their unprecedented market momentum and elite community support demonstrate a broad interest in niche meme assets."
Institutional funds involvement? The outlook for Meme coins is questionable.
Despite the recent strong performance of the Meme coin market, its long-term prospects remain controversial. Some analysts believe that the involvement of institutional funds could bring more attention and capital inflow to Meme coins. However, there are also views that Meme coins lack real utility, and their prices are merely driven by speculative sentiment, making it difficult to sustain in the long run.
Cryptocurrency analyst Tom Lee stated: "The essence of meme coins is that they are speculative assets, and their price fluctuations are primarily driven by emotional factors. Investors need to carefully assess the risks and should not blindly follow the trend."
4. Major Events
Here is a summary of the Top 15 events that had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market in the past seven days:
#Google GCUL Chain May Compete with Ripple 2025-08-29 Google is preparing to launch the Google Cloud Universal Ledger (GCUL), which may directly compete with Ripple's XRP Ledger (XRPL). GCUL is scheduled to be released in 2026 and aims to provide faster settlement and built-in compliance for banks, payment providers, and large institutions. Its features overlap with Ripple's proposals, which could impact XRP's position in the payment and tokenization sectors.
#Webull Restarts Crypto Trading 2025-08-29 Webull has recently reintroduced cryptocurrency trading for its U.S. customers, ending a two-year pause. This move could boost trading volumes by approximately 30%, providing retail customers with a more comprehensive trading experience as they re-enter the crypto market. Analysts expect this will drive up Webull stock (BULL).
#Solana Ecosystem Active 2025-08-29 The Solana ecosystem remains active. Galaxy Digital, Multicoin Capital, and Jump Crypto are leading the establishment of a $1 billion Solana investment fund. Additionally, beverage company ty Shot recently completed a placement financing of 25 million BONK. These developments indicate that Solana native projects are gaining significant liquidity.
#(RAY) up 20% 2025-08-29 (RAY) has risen by 20.4% in the past seven days, trading close to $3.90. RAY is trying to break through the resistance area of $4.00-$4.20, and if successful, it may drive further increases to $4.80 and $6.20.
#Fenwick rejects FTX lawsuit 2025-08-29 Fenwick & West LLP has requested the court to dismiss the new claims against it by victims of the FTX exchange collapse. Fenwick claims that it only provided routine legal services to FTX and did not assist in any fraudulent activities. The court has not yet ruled on whether to accept the amended complaint.
#Helium(HNT)Upgrade Reform 2025-08-29 Helium(HNT) is undergoing reforms. The project will halve the daily HNT emissions to 7.5 million tokens per year starting August 1. Additionally, the July update allows businesses to join the network using existing Wi-Fi routers. The Helium Foundation has also committed to providing $50 million in grants to increase hotspots.
#Increase in Activity on the Cronos Chain 2025-08-28 With the announcement of the CRO strategy by Trump Media Technology Group, CRO has reached a new high price in nearly three years. The activity on the Cronos chain has also increased, with significant surges in on-chain transaction volume, total transaction fees, and average transaction fees over the past 24 hours.
#Tether and Circle Mint an Additional $8.75 Billion in Stablecoins 2025-08-28 In the past month, Tether and Circle have jointly minted stablecoins worth $8.75 billion. This usually reflects an increase in market demand for stablecoins and heightened user participation, often associated with bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.
#CAMP token skyrocketed 1500% 2025-08-28 The opening price of CAMP token was $0.02, which peaked at $0.32, representing an increase of over 1500% compared to the opening price. Based on the highest price, the FDV of CAMP once surpassed $3.2 billion.
#IMF: Market Trust in the Independence of the Federal Reserve 2025-08-28 U.S. President Trump is attempting to dismiss Federal Reserve Board member Cook, raising concerns about the government's reshaping of the Federal Reserve leadership. The IMF stated that the markets still believe in the independence of the Federal Reserve in setting monetary policy rates, particularly that operational independence will be maintained.
#Solana Chain Meme Coin COPE Soars 2025-08-29 The market capitalization of the meme coin COPE on the Solana chain has surpassed 13 million USD, reaching a historical high, with a 24-hour trading volume of 26 million USD. However, meme coins generally lack practical use cases, and their prices are highly volatile, so investment should be approached with caution.
#CZ: The next breakthrough in the crypto space may come from AI, RWA, and stablecoins 2025-08-29 CZ stated that the next significant breakthrough in the crypto space may come from AI, RWA, and stablecoins within blockchain. He also revealed that he holds a substantial amount of BNB, linking a considerable part of his wealth to it.
#GFR Token: The Creativity Behind the Meme Symbol 2025-08-29 The rise of the GFR token showcases the boundless creativity of the cryptocurrency world. From the unexpected inspiration of the Fartcoin airdrop to the digital rave of Goatse Forest Rave, GFR is not just a meme symbol, but also represents the potential of a new generation of digital assets.
#Helium(HNT)Data offloading surged by 138% 2025-08-29 Helium has released an offloading of 2,721 TB of data from major mobile operators in the United States, a 138.5% increase from the previous quarter. Helium Mobile accounts surged by 94.1%, surpassing 311,200 users.
#DOLO Token Airdrop Worth 48 USD 2025-08-27 Each eligible user can receive an airdrop of 166 DOLO tokens, with the individual return for this airdrop activity calculated at approximately 48 dollars based on the current price.
5. Global Policies
The following is an analysis of new political dynamics, economic policies, and regulations related to the cryptocurrency industry from August 22 to 29, 2025, as well as their impact on the industry and the market:
1. The U.S. government will put GDP and other economic data on the blockchain
2. The U.S. SEC Allows Creation and Redemption of Physical Crypto ETPs
3. Hong Kong will implement the Basel crypto rules in 2026
4. U.S. Senator Proposes to Include Crypto Assets in Mortgage Assessments
5. Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen criticizes Trump for firing Cook
Summary
The above policies and regulations reflect the increasing attention that global regulatory agencies are paying to cryptocurrencies. On one hand, they hope to manage risks through clear regulatory frameworks; on the other hand, there are measures aimed at promoting the application of crypto assets within the traditional financial system. These dynamics will profoundly influence the development direction and speed of the cryptocurrency industry.
6. Investment Analysis
6.1. Investment Recommendations
Please note that these suggestions are based solely on current market analysis and are not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry a high level of risk, please invest cautiously.
6.2 Investment Strategy
This Week's Popular Token Analysis
Solana rose 16.37% this week, with the price reaching $214 after a strong rebound. The token faces upcoming resistance at $244 and $273, with analysts viewing $300 as a potential price target in the current trend. Shiba Inu ended this trade at $0.00001251, a slight increase of 0.08%. This trend reflects a stable performance after experiencing significant volatility earlier in July and August. Polkadot closed at $3.91, recording a 1.83% increase, with the asset trading steadily within a clear range throughout August.
Summary: The performance of Solana, Shiba Inu, and Polkadot reflects different market trends, highlighting a mixed outlook shaping the anticipated altcoin season.
Quantitative Trading Robot Analysis
The grid trading strategy earns profits by buying and selling within a set price range, suitable for moderately volatile markets. The moving average strategy trades based on the crossover signals of moving averages, which carries higher risk but also higher returns. The market-making strategy earns the buy-sell spread through placing orders, suitable for less volatile markets. The options selling strategy profits by selling call and put options, which carries higher risk. The trend-following strategy buys and sells based on trend signals, suitable for moderately volatile markets.
Summary: This week, quantitative strategies have shown diversification, with different strategies suitable for varying volatility and risk-return preferences, providing traders with flexible choices.
6.3. Financial Management Products
Yubi Treasure helps match users with idle assets to those in need of loans. After users subscribe to Yubi Treasure, the system will determine at each hour whether the loan is successful based on the user's set lending rate and actual borrowing needs, as well as the rate for that hour. Successful loans can earn interest for that hour.
The total amount of USDT in Yubi Bao is 350,193,997.59, with an estimated annualized return rate of 16.65% + 8.87%.
The Wealth Management Treasure is a one-stop comprehensive financial service center established by Gate, including current, fixed, and other financial plans, providing users with hundreds of digital currency financial products of various types.
Gate structured financial products are a new type of financial product based on a combination of fixed income and options and other financial derivatives. The settlement yield level is generally determined by comparing the performance of the underlying asset's price during the investment period with a specified target price, and can be classified into two types: principal-protected and aggressive.
4. Market Interest Rate
Note:
Disclaimer: The above data is for reference only, actual interest rates may vary. Investment carries risks, and one should proceed with caution.
6.4. Technical Analysis: Bollinger Band Trading Strategy Backtesting
Bollinger Bands are a commonly used technical indicator that identifies potential overbought or oversold conditions through the standard deviation of prices. This backtest uses the following Bollinger Bands trading strategy:
Backtesting the historical data of ETH from 2020 to 2025 based on this trading strategy yielded the following results:
Data Analysis:
Advantages:
Disadvantages:
Overall, the Bollinger Bands trading strategy can achieve good trading results for volatile assets like ETH, but it still requires further optimization and improvement. Investors can combine it with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to seek better operational performance.