Strategy One: [High Sell - Conservative Type]

Entry Area: 4723.72 USDT
Stop loss price: 4805 USDT
Target Area: 4602.51 USDT
Strategy basis: Given that the current market is in a low volatility range and is oscillating, and the price is approaching a strong resistance level of 4786.54, forming a evening star pattern with a bearish divergence in volume and price, adopting a robust strategy of selling high near the resistance level is a reasonable choice that aligns with the current market structure.
1. Overall Analysis and Assessment Currently, the ETH market is in a low volatility range-bound state, with the price running close to the strong resistance level of 4786.54, and the trading volume has drastically decreased, indicating insufficient market momentum. In the technical diagnosis, the evening star pattern and the strong resistance level form a bearish resonance, further intensifying the reversal pressure on the market. At the same time, the short-term moving averages are turning down while the long-term moving averages are turning up, creating a trend conflict, indicating that the market direction is unclear and momentum is weakening.
In terms of the external environment, market sentiment is neutral, with a mix of bullish and bearish news. The growth of reserves and capital inflows are positive factors, but regulatory uncertainties and technical issues bring pressure. Macroeconomic data (such as the U.S. dollar index and government bond yields) show no significant changes, and the overall external environment rating is neutral, providing no clear impetus for market direction.
Overall, both the technical indicators and the external environment suggest that the market is in a range-bound oscillation pattern, and in the short term, prices may fluctuate repeatedly between key support and resistance levels.
2. Key Evidence Interpretation Technical Diagnosis
Market Status Identification: The current market is identified as "range oscillation".
Key Findings:
The evening star pattern is close to the strong resistance level of 4786.54, forming a bearish resonance, indicating that the market may face reversal pressure.
The short-term moving average is turning downward, conflicting with the upward trend of the long-term moving average. Momentum is weakening, but the price remains above the long-term moving average.
The trading volume has significantly decreased and there is a divergence between volume and price, with the price increase not receiving support from trading volume. Be cautious of the risk of a pullback.
Macroeconomic and Sentiment Diagnosis
Overall Environmental Rating: The external environment is rated as "Neutral".
Core evidence:
Market sentiment is neutral, and the Fear & Greed Index does not show any obvious extreme emotions.
The news is mixed, with an increase in reserves and capital inflows being positive factors, but regulatory uncertainties and technical issues bring pressure. #ETH#